Rising geopolitical tensions between the US and Russia spiked volatility, but history shows markets often overreact to such events. Despite nuclear concerns, patterns like power laws suggest conflicts of this scale often cool sooner than feared. The current VIX spike presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity for volatility trading.
Geopolitical Context: Russia updates nuclear doctrine in response to US-approved missile strikes.
Market Reaction: VIX surged temporarily, but oil prices remain stable, indicating limited escalation risk.
Historical Patterns: Wars with higher casualties typically end sooner, aligning with power law predictions.
Trade Opportunity: A calculated VIX short targeting seasonal strength into Thanksgiving.
Learn how data, strategy, and patterns transform fear-driven markets into actionable trades.