FreeOpening BellTue December 31, 2024Opening Bell: New Year’s EveAs we approach the end of 2024, on December 30, the S&P 500 closed at 5,906, down 1.07%, while the NASDAQ posted a decline of 1.19% to 19,486, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average retreated to 42,573, down 0.97%. The Russell 2000 was down 0.75% for the day, ending at 2,227. Trading volumes are expected to remain light. Tomorrow, January 1, U.S. markets will be closed in observance of the New Year.
Trade IdeaTrade of the WeekThu December 26, 2024Betting on Apple: The AI Boom and Year-End Market SurgeMarkets opened lower post-Christmas with the Dow down 100 points and the VIX spiking 8%, yet optimism for a Santa Claus rally remains intact. With strong fundamentals like 3%+ GDP growth and robust consumer spending, 2025 is poised for another roaring year. The rise of AI solidifies the dominance of top tech giants, presenting compelling opportunities in Apple and other market leaders.
FreeWeekly RecapFri December 20, 2024Weekly Recap: Navigating Volatility Amid Bullish TrendsThe S&P 500 closed the week at 5,867, down 0.77%, while the NASDAQ and Dow Jones Industrial Average also saw declines of 0.10% and 0.29%, respectively. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has finally managed to break its record streak of 11 days in the red since 1974 by rising by 1.18% to 42,840.26. The DXY closed at 107.82 lightly higher than a week ago. We’re seeing extreme risk in the current bull market with treasuries selling off and the DXY rising.
FreeOpening BellFri December 20, 2024Opening Bell: Markets on EdgeFollowing a turbulent day on Wednesday, the S&P 500 closed 0.77% lower at 5,867. The NASDAQ was slightly down by 19 points (0.10%), closing the day at 19,392. The Dow extended its losing streak marking the 11th trading session in the red finishing at 42,342 sliding 0.29%. The DXY weakened a bit to 107.97 (-0.39%) calming the market, and the VIX climbed 7.8% in early trading to 26. Small caps in the Russell 2000 are still hurting, down 1.31% during the day, closing the index at 2,231.
Punk Rock TechnicalsMon September 2, 2024Performance After Rate Cuts, and Election-Year Q4 SeasonalityThis week’s analysis covers trend and risk monitoring, market behavior post-rate policy changes, and a comparison of diversified versus Max Sharpe portfolios. Key insights include varied market outcomes during rate-cutting cycles, election year seasonality, and individual asset performance for S&P, gold, BTC, and NVDA.
FreeBlack Swan PartySun July 21, 2024The Silver Lining to Last Week’s Market Rollercoaster: Small Cap OutperformanceLast week’s spike in volatility saw the VIX hit the $16 mark and significant market drops, but signs suggest a healthy sell-off and rotation from Tech. The VIX curve remained in contango, indicating an orderly market despite the sell-off. With earnings season approaching, index volatility typically decreases. The Russell 2000’s outperformance further supports a positive outlook, signaling resilience among smaller companies. Overall, the current market structure and strong economic fundamentals suggest that volatility may remain subdued.
FreeBlack Swan PartyFri July 19, 2024How Does the Presidential Election Affect Market Volatility?“Quite a few ‘old adages’ regarding markets and politics are plainly false,” says Thomas Jefferson. Contrary to belief, markets perform better under Democratic presidents. Misunderstandings about market volatility can affect strategies. Analyzing election year patterns reveals opportunities, suggesting that shorting October volatility might be profitable despite uncertainty. Understanding politics and markets is key to effective investing.
Weekly RecapFri, Jan 17Weekly Recap: Crypto Markets Surge Into Donald Trump’s InaugurationUnlock Report
FreeOpening BellTue, Jan 14Opening Bell: Pound Sterling Weakens as UK Economic Outlook FaltersRead More