Trade IdeaBlack Swan PartyTue October 8, 2024It’s Time to Short the VIXThe Volatility Index (VIX) presents profitable opportunities for those who understand its recurring patterns, especially during election cycles. Current geopolitical tensions and upcoming election uncertainties have caused a spike in the VIX, but much of this is technical and should ease post-election. Historically, the VIX tends to drop in October and beyond.
FreeFOMC UpdatesThu October 3, 2024Israeli Response to Iran and Port Strikes Unlikely to Derail a Strong Bull MarketMarkets saw their first losing week in a month, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and fears of a strike on Iranian oil facilities. Despite this, strong economic fundamentals, positive GDP growth, and jobless claims offer a bullish outlook. The Federal Reserve is continuing gradual rate cuts, and seasonal trends point to a market recovery in November after a typical October dip. We hold positions to benefit from these patterns and expect the VIX to settle back to mid-teens levels soon.