Black Swan PartyMon December 30, 2024Krampus Takes Control: Santa Claus Rally Faces Post-Holiday VolatilityAfter promising gains on Christmas Eve, markets opened with a steep sell-off on Monday, fueled by risk-off sentiment and a 20% VIX spike. While concerns loom, the U.S. economy remains robust with projected double-digit earnings growth in 2025. Despite today’s volatility, seasonal tailwinds and historical data still support the possibility of a Santa Claus rally to close out the year.
Punk Rock WeeklyTue December 24, 2024Why Markets Are Poised for a Bullish FinishThe Santa Claus rally, a phenomenon observed by Yale Hirsch, highlights the market’s tendency to perform well during the last five trading days of December and the first two of January. This year, historical data, robust holiday spending, and a post-Powell volatility collapse point to a strong rally. While consumer sentiment shows mixed signals, economic data and wage growth underpin optimism.