FreeBlack Swan PartyWed July 31, 2024Volatility Likely to Spike from Rising Middle East Tensions“Volatility is a symptom that people have no clue of the underlying value,” says Jeremy Grantham. Last week, we saw a spike in volatility, but the orderly nature of the sell-off and the VIX curve remaining in contango suggest it wasn’t the start of a bear market. With earnings season approaching and strong performance from the Russell 2000, the market shows resilience. Despite geopolitical tensions and potential risks, the current market structure and economic fundamentals point to a more stable outlook.