Geopolitical Tensions

Weak Jobs Report and Middle East Tensions Put Markets in Precarious Position

This morning’s jobs report revealed a gain of only 114,000 jobs against the expected 175,000, with unemployment rising to 4.3%, leading to a market selloff. Geopolitical tensions are also escalating in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Hezbollah, following recent Israeli actions. This could provoke significant conflict, potentially driving up oil prices and increasing market volatility.

Black Swan Party

Sun, Mar 31

Fried Black Swan

“Black swan meat is delicious and has medicinal value,” according to North Korea’s Rodong Sinmun. This piece, dedicated to Daniel Kahneman and Daniel Ellsberg, explores how Black Swan risks, while feared, can be monetized. Rather than predicting crises, the key lies in profiting from the fear of such events not occurring. As geopolitical tensions rise, understanding and leveraging these market anomalies can turn fear into opportunity.

Sangfroid (Don’t Assess Risk Like a Fish)

Black Swan Party

Wed May 31, 2023

Sangfroid (Don’t Assess Risk Like a Fish)

“Dark clouds are gathering,” warns Barton Biggs, and the market’s misconceptions about volatility could prove costly. Welcome to the Black Swan Party, your bi- weekly dive into the unthinkable and the highly unlikely. As the Ukrainian offensive ramps up and geopolitical tensions rise, the market remains eerily calm. Understanding and navigating financial volatility is crucial for managing money effectively. Volatility isn’t just a threat; it’s an opportunity for discerning investors. This column explores...

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Geopolitical Tensions

Weak Jobs Report and Middle East Tensions Put Markets in Precarious Position

Fried Black Swan

Sangfroid (Don’t Assess Risk Like a Fish)

The Ideas Wall Street Won’t Give You