Federal Reserve rate cuts

Israeli Response to Iran and Port Strikes Unlikely to Derail a Strong Bull Market

Markets saw their first losing week in a month, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and fears of a strike on Iranian oil facilities. Despite this, strong economic fundamentals, positive GDP growth, and jobless claims offer a bullish outlook. The Federal Reserve is continuing gradual rate cuts, and seasonal trends point to a market recovery in November after a typical October dip. We hold positions to benefit from these patterns and expect the VIX to settle back to mid-teens levels soon.

The Beginning of the Soft Landing Fed Cutting Cycle is VERY Bullish

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FOMC Updates

Wed September 18, 2024

The Beginning of the Soft Landing Fed Cutting Cycle is VERY Bullish

The Federal Reserve has achieved a rare soft landing with rate cuts, while maintaining economic growth. Key indicators like all-time highs in Industrials and upward GDP revisions signal market strength. With steady job growth and inflation under control, the outlook for stocks remains bullish heading into the holiday season.

Short The VIX: Get Yourself an Early Christmas Present

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Black Swan Party

Tue September 17, 2024

Short The VIX: Get Yourself an Early Christmas Present

The Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision may bring volatility, offering a strategic opportunity. Despite market uncertainty, fundamentals remain strong with rising industrials, job growth, and revised GDP. We expect the VIX to drop to $12-$13 by December. Position yourself with $VIX puts and $SPX call options to take advantage of the year-end rally.

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Federal Reserve rate cuts

Israeli Response to Iran and Port Strikes Unlikely to Derail a Strong Bull Market

The Beginning of the Soft Landing Fed Cutting Cycle is VERY Bullish

Short The VIX: Get Yourself an Early Christmas Present

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