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Inflation Data and AI Earnings Lead December Turnaround
Punk Rock Weekly

Inflation Data and AI Earnings Lead December Turnaround

Markets rebounded on Friday after a week of volatility sparked by a Fed rate cut and inflation fears. A softer-than-expected PCE inflation report restored confidence, suggesting the bull market remains intact. AI-driven earnings growth from firms like Nvidia and Broadcom continues to fuel optimism, while pro-business sentiment and record holiday spending boost market momentum. The dip proved to be a buying opportunity, with positive price action expected through the holiday season.

Three Things the Stock Market Can Tell Us About Elections
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Black Swan Party

Three Things the Stock Market Can Tell Us About Elections

Geopolitical risk events are often non-events for markets. The market cares only for the almighty ask and bid. By removing emotion from evaluations, stock analysis adds objectivity. Historical data shows the stock market tends to perform better under Democratic Presidents and that incumbents are likelier to win if the market is positive before elections. Understanding these patterns can offer valuable insights as we approach an emotionally charged election season.

Volatility Likely to Spike from Rising Middle East Tensions
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Black Swan Party

Volatility Likely to Spike from Rising Middle East Tensions

“Volatility is a symptom that people have no clue of the underlying value,” says Jeremy Grantham. Last week, we saw a spike in volatility, but the orderly nature of the sell-off and the VIX curve remaining in contango suggest it wasn’t the start of a bear market. With earnings season approaching and strong performance from the Russell 2000, the market shows resilience. Despite geopolitical tensions and potential risks, the current market structure and economic fundamentals point to a more stable outlook.

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