Latest Research

Our Trade on Nvidia Earnings

Nvidia's earnings report is a pivotal event for investors, especially given its market dominance and high valuation. Here's why this matters and how to approach it strategically:

Earnings Drive Volatility: Most price movement happens after hours, tied to earnings announcements.
Sensitivity to Growth Projections: Nvidia's valuation depends heavily on its ability to sustain long-term growth, making earnings critical.
Options Strategy Benefits: Leveraging options allows traders to capitalize on large swings while managing downside risks.
Implied Price Swing: Current options suggest an 8% movement, reflecting heightened market anticipation.

Understanding Nvidia's position in the AI revolution can help traders navigate this high-stakes event.

Trade Idea

Black Swan Party

Tue, Nov 19

Short Today’s Geopolitical VIX Spike

Rising geopolitical tensions between the US and Russia spiked volatility, but history shows markets often overreact to such events. Despite nuclear concerns, patterns like power laws suggest conflicts of this scale often cool sooner than feared. The current VIX spike presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity for volatility trading.

Geopolitical Context: Russia updates nuclear doctrine in response to US-approved missile strikes.
Market Reaction: VIX surged temporarily, but oil prices remain stable, indicating limited escalation risk.
Historical Patterns: Wars with higher casualties typically end sooner, aligning with power law predictions.
Trade Opportunity: A calculated VIX short targeting seasonal strength into Thanksgiving.

Learn how data, strategy, and patterns transform fear-driven markets into actionable trades.

313% Gains in 6 Days: Inside Punk Rock Traders’ Election Trade Masterclass

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Market Update Videos

Fri, Nov 15

313% Gains in 6 Days: Inside Punk Rock Traders’ Election Trade Masterclass

Learn how we achieved a 313% return in just six trading sessions with our election trade strategy. In this video, we break down the VIX volatility crush, the logic behind our trade, and how you can navigate high-reward opportunities in options trading. Discover the insights and methods that set Punk Rock Traders apart.

Broadcom is Underappreciated for It’s Artificial Intelligence Potential

Trade Idea

Trade of the Week

Thu, Nov 14

Broadcom is Underappreciated for It’s Artificial Intelligence Potential

Broadcom, a powerhouse in semiconductors, stands poised to benefit from the AI revolution with high-margin products, a robust R&D foundation, and revenue stability from infrastructure software. This article explores Broadcom’s unique role in AI and its strong long-term uptrend, signaling potential for significant growth into 2025 and beyond.

Interviews

Thu, Nov 14

The Future of Finance: Richard G. Field Discusses Financial Reform

Financial author Richard G. Field delves into the urgent need for transparency and reform in the U.S. financial system in this insightful article. In an eye-opening interview with Chris Robb of Punk Rock Traders, Field challenges the effectiveness of the Federal Reserve’s current policies, exposes the political realities influencing monetary decisions, and warns about the dangers of financial opacity. He proposes bold changes—including empowering the FDIC as a primary regulator and leveraging fiscal tools over traditional monetary policy—to foster a more transparent and stable economic future. Dive in to explore Field’s contrarian vision that reimagines the future structures of American finance.

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FOMC Updates

Wed, Nov 13

Donald Trump Vs. Jay Powell

The Federal Reserve’s independence is under potential scrutiny, especially with the political landscape shifting post-election. We’re closely watching this high-stakes faceoff between Donald Trump and Fed Chair Jay Powell, as potential changes could ripple through stock markets, the US dollar, and global trade. In this article, explore the impact of a Fed challenged by political influence, along with strategic investment insights based on our deep understanding of Fed policies and market responses.

Free

Black Swan Party

Tue, Nov 12

Punk Rock Trade Updates

Election volatility delivered gains, and our strategy to short the VIX on Election Day paid off with a 210% return in just a few sessions. Our analysis predicted an implied volatility crush, tapping into an 80% historical likelihood, and we positioned deep out-of-the-money for maximum returns. We’ve also scored wins across several other trade ideas, reinforcing our approach of leveraging calculated, high-reward opportunities. As we move forward, our portfolio includes tactical plays in high-potential sectors with a focus on consistent, data-driven trades.

Guest Trade Ideas

Fri, Nov 8

US Elections and the VIX Play: Explaining Our Successful Election Volatility Short

This election season, our Head of Research, Chris Robb, called a successful short on the VIX, predicting an implied volatility crush—now up 200% in three sessions. This move follows a historically observed pattern: uncertainty rises pre-election, pushing volatility up, while post-election, as clarity returns, volatility tends to drop. With an 80% probability of decline in VIX after elections since 2004, pattern-based trades like this can provide unique opportunities for high returns when timed right.

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Expiration November 13th

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+158% Profit in 2 Days: Our Bold Election Day Volatility Trade!

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Market Update Videos

Thu, Nov 7

+158% Profit in 2 Days: Our Bold Election Day Volatility Trade!

We break down a high-risk, high-reward Election Day trade that saw a 158% gain in just two days. Discover how he leveraged volatility and why using VIX options can beat traditional election prediction markets. Learn about market dynamics, trading strategies, and what drives Punk Rock Traders’ unique approach to high-risk investing.

Trade Idea

Trade of the Week

Thu, Nov 7

Go Long Adobe Well Ahead of Earnings

Adobe (ADBE) may not be the flashiest tech stock, but its robust fundamentals and powerful competitive advantage make it a solid play. With consistent double-digit growth, a loyal customer base, and impressive profitability metrics, Adobe stands tall among tech giants. As we head into the year’s final quarter, we’re betting on Adobe’s resilience to drive a strong earnings beat, fueled by seasonal tailwinds and economic momentum.

FOMC Updates

Wed, Nov 6

Our Election Trade Beats Binary Options

Donald Trump had a resounding victory with an accompanying red wave in the Senate. Amazingly, and against the odds of most predictions, Trump even won the popular vote. Risk assets rallied hard on the news, and the removal of uncertainty and Trump’s pro-corporate tax policy helped lift the markets into their biggest rally in months. As of about 6:20 am EST, markets were up considerably.

Trade Idea

Black Swan Party

Tue, Nov 5

Election Volatility Update

Election day brings high stakes and market uncertainty. We’re prepared with a multi-stage approach focused on volatility. Historical data indicates a likely post-election volatility crush, barring unprecedented events. Our positions are designed to capitalize on these trends, with trades balancing risk and opportunity to navigate this pivotal moment in the market.

Down Week in Markets Likely To Be Reversed by Strong Earnings Next Week

Punk Rock Weekly

Sun, Oct 27

Down Week in Markets Likely To Be Reversed by Strong Earnings Next Week

Markets saw their first down week in six, led by losses in Materials, while Consumer Discretionary stayed positive. Volatility remains elevated, with the $VIX above $20 as big tech earnings approach. At Punk Rock Traders, we’re maintaining a long volatility position to hedge against potential market swings, capitalizing on the strong U.S. economy and strategic options trades.

TSMC vs. Tesla: Why TSMC Wins on Long-Term Value

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Market Update Videos

Fri, Oct 25

TSMC vs. Tesla: Why TSMC Wins on Long-Term Value

We share insights on TSMC’s continued dominance and why Tesla’s recent rally may not be built to last. With a focus on calculated options strategies, Chris breaks down how TSMC’s competitive edge and high ROIC put it ahead of Tesla in long-term value creation.

Mastercard Poised to Outperform with US Economic Growth Over 3%

Trade Idea

Trade of the Week

Thu, Oct 24

Mastercard Poised to Outperform with US Economic Growth Over 3%

Mastercard, part of the lucrative credit card duopoly, is poised for growth as it continues to gain market share and invest in technology. With strong fundamentals, effective capital allocation, and consumer spending on the rise, Mastercard is well-positioned to benefit from the current economic expansion and holiday season. As the U.S. economy grows, credit reliance is expected to increase, making Mastercard a top pick for long-term growth.

Spiking Bond Volatility Makes Us Open Short-Term VIX Calls

Trade Idea

Black Swan Party

Wed, Oct 23

Spiking Bond Volatility Makes Us Open Short-Term VIX Calls

Punk Rock Traders are positioned for a post-election volatility crush with $VIX put options in November and December. However, rising odds of a Trump victory and bond market tension could lead to a volatility spike. With election uncertainty and geopolitical risks looming, this article explores the potential for market turbulence and strategic options plays to capitalize on it.

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Market Update Videos

Tue, Oct 22

Nvidia Is Not Overvalued

Chris Robb, Head of Research at Punk Rock Traders, discusses the potential of Nvidia as it reaches all-time highs and dispels concerns of it being overvalued. With multiple successful trades on Nvidia, Punk Rock Traders continues to leverage smart strategies ahead of earnings season, focusing on calculated risks that deliver strong returns.

What Can The Stock Market Tell Us About the Election?

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Market Update Videos

Sun, Oct 20

What Can The Stock Market Tell Us About the Election?

Chris Robb, Head of Research at Punk Rock Traders, breaks down how the stock market can predict elections and how volatility around election time impacts trades. In this video, Chris highlights a 99% gain on a VIX trade and shares insights on the relationship between stock performance and election outcomes. Learn how Punk Rock Traders navigates election volatility with calculated trades.

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Market Update Videos

Fri, Oct 18

How We Nailed a +210% Gain on TSMC

Chris Robb, Head of Research at Punk Rock Traders, breaks down the explosive 210% gain on TSMC following its stellar earnings and raised guidance. In this video, he explains how Punk Rock Traders combines fundamental research and leveraged strategies to deliver extraordinary returns. Learn how calculated risks like these set us apart from Wall Street’s cautious approach.

Informed Optimism Should Be Your Starting Place in Markets

Punk Rock Weekly

Fri, Oct 18

Informed Optimism Should Be Your Starting Place in Markets

Despite widespread pessimism, markets are performing exceptionally well, as seen with the S&P 500 nearing record highs and strong earnings reports from key companies. We believe that the current pessimistic sentiment is a signal of early bull market stages, offering valuable opportunities. Our informed optimism, coupled with sound analysis and leverage, has produced stellar results, such as our recent Trade of the Week on Taiwan Semiconductor ($TSM), which gained 200% in under a month. Don’t let fear cloud your judgment—embrace the opportunities ahead.

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Latest Research

Actionable Stock Market Analysis

Our Trade on Nvidia Earnings

Short Today’s Geopolitical VIX Spike

313% Gains in 6 Days: Inside Punk Rock Traders’ Election Trade Masterclass

Broadcom is Underappreciated for It’s Artificial Intelligence Potential

The Future of Finance: Richard G. Field Discusses Financial Reform

Donald Trump Vs. Jay Powell

Punk Rock Trade Updates

US Elections and the VIX Play: Explaining Our Successful Election Volatility Short

Option Ideas

Stock Lists

More Research

+158% Profit in 2 Days: Our Bold Election Day Volatility Trade!

Go Long Adobe Well Ahead of Earnings

Our Election Trade Beats Binary Options

Election Volatility Update

Down Week in Markets Likely To Be Reversed by Strong Earnings Next Week

TSMC vs. Tesla: Why TSMC Wins on Long-Term Value

Mastercard Poised to Outperform with US Economic Growth Over 3%

Spiking Bond Volatility Makes Us Open Short-Term VIX Calls

Nvidia Is Not Overvalued

What Can The Stock Market Tell Us About the Election?

How We Nailed a +210% Gain on TSMC

Informed Optimism Should Be Your Starting Place in Markets

Your Edge in the Market