Black Swan Party

Short Today’s Geopolitical VIX Spike

Punk Rock Trade Updates

Election volatility delivered gains, and our strategy to short the VIX on Election Day paid off with a 210% return in just a few sessions. Our analysis predicted an implied volatility crush, tapping into an 80% historical likelihood, and we positioned deep out-of-the-money for maximum returns. We’ve also scored wins across several other trade ideas, reinforcing our approach of leveraging calculated, high-reward opportunities. As we move forward, our portfolio includes tactical plays in high-potential sectors with a focus on consistent, data-driven trades.

Election Volatility Update

Election day brings high stakes and market uncertainty. We’re prepared with a multi-stage approach focused on volatility. Historical data indicates a likely post-election volatility crush, barring unprecedented events. Our positions are designed to capitalize on these trends, with trades balancing risk and opportunity to navigate this pivotal moment in the market.

Spiking Bond Volatility Makes Us Open Short-Term VIX Calls

Punk Rock Traders are positioned for a post-election volatility crush with $VIX put options in November and December. However, rising odds of a Trump victory and bond market tension could lead to a volatility spike. With election uncertainty and geopolitical risks looming, this article explores the potential for market turbulence and strategic options plays to capitalize on it.

Three Reasons the VIX Should Collapse This Week

Last week’s volatility spike is setting up for a collapse, and we are ready. With positive signals from credit markets, falling oil prices, and easing geopolitical risks, we anticipate a significant drop in the VIX. Our analysis suggests that implied volatility will soon exceed realized volatility, positioning our subscribers for a favorable outcome in the coming week.

It’s Time to Short the VIX

The Volatility Index (VIX) presents profitable opportunities for those who understand its recurring patterns, especially during election cycles. Current geopolitical tensions and upcoming election uncertainties have caused a spike in the VIX, but much of this is technical and should ease post-election. Historically, the VIX tends to drop in October and beyond.

Short The Middle East Driven VIX Spike

The Volatility Index (VIX) spiked at the start of October due to rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the Israeli ground incursion into Lebanon. Despite the initial fear-driven volatility, the fundamental strength of the market, including GDP growth, consumer savings, and lower inflation, suggests this spike will be short-lived. As the conflict is unlikely to significantly disrupt global oil production or commerce, capitalizing on the expected decline in volatility in the coming days.

Seasonality is Making Short-Term $VIX Puts Incredibly Cheap

Trading the VIX with short-dated options can be risky but offers high rewards. This article explores a bold trade betting on reduced early October volatility, despite expectations of a seasonal spike. With all-time highs and strong economic data, we see an opportunity to capitalize. Perfect for Punk Rock Traders ready to dive into the world of short-dated options where risk and reward go hand in hand.

Short The VIX: Get Yourself an Early Christmas Present

The Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision may bring volatility, offering a strategic opportunity. Despite market uncertainty, fundamentals remain strong with rising industrials, job growth, and revised GDP. We expect the VIX to drop to $12-$13 by December. Position yourself with $VIX puts and $SPX call options to take advantage of the year-end rally.

There’s a Seasonal Window for a Killer VIX Short

Fear drives action more than historical evidence. Despite Wall Street’s fear tactics, retail traders now have opportunities to capitalize on volatility. Recent VIX spikes suggest a potential calm in the coming weeks. Consider the October $17 VIX puts for high-risk, high-reward trading.