Jack Runge

Guest Contributor

Currently pursuing an MS in computational methods in nuclear engineering while also working as a process modeler at Los Alamos National Labs to help improve production efficiency for nuclear security components. Started my career as a business analyst at Capital One on risk management with auto dealers, then moved to Wall Street to work as a crypto investment analyst with Fundstrat before moving to engineering at Los Alamos National Laboratory.

US Elections and the VIX Play: Explaining Our Successful Election Volatility Short

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Guest Trade Ideas

Fri, Nov 8

US Elections and the VIX Play: Explaining Our Successful Election Volatility Short

This election season, our Head of Research, Chris Robb, called a successful short on the VIX, predicting an implied volatility crush—now up 200% in three sessions. This move follows a historically observed pattern: uncertainty rises pre-election, pushing volatility up, while post-election, as clarity returns, volatility tends to drop. With an 80% probability of decline in VIX after elections since 2004, pattern-based trades like this can provide unique opportunities for high returns when timed right.

Report Your Errors, and Don’t Trust Those Who Don’t

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Mon, Oct 7

Report Your Errors, and Don’t Trust Those Who Don’t

Statistics are crucial in investment decisions, yet often overlooked. This article highlights the risks of relying on averages without proper statistical analysis. Understanding standard deviations and significance can provide a clearer view of market strategies and reduce reliance on luck. Always question financial claims and verify with proper analysis.

An Elegant Solution to Buying the Dip

Investing in index ETFs such as SPY and QQQ offers broad market exposure and diversification. To enhance returns, leveraging ETFs like TQQQ during market pullbacks can be effective. This strategy of ’buying the dip’ with leveraged ETFs aims to maximize long-term gains while managing volatility.

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Jack Runge

Guest Contributor

US Elections and the VIX Play: Explaining Our Successful Election Volatility Short

Report Your Errors, and Don’t Trust Those Who Don’t

An Elegant Solution to Buying the Dip

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